Help Labor win, VOTE [1] LIBERAL

Help Labor win a majority,
VOTE [1] LIBERAL

Now that preferences are out, the Libs have decided to put Greens last in all 8 upper house regions, behind the ALP. Antony Green (no relation) calls it "very unusual" and "can't think of another situation where I've seen the Liberal Party put the Greens behind Labor, this is the first time I've seen them do that in an Upper House contest".

I think the Poll Bludger put's it best: "the Liberals' preference decision has turned the slim outside chance of a Labor majority into a genuine possibility."

But I'm not surprised they put Greens last, check out this list of crazy green policy:

• Supports voluntary euthanasia
• Supports decriminalisation of abortion
• Supports channel deepening, but only if it can be shown not to damage Port Phillip Bay
• Wants wind farms kept away (just not around pristine coastal areas.)
• Supports civil unions (in principle)
• Free public transport for students, kids
  
• Free kindergarten for many students
• Extending rail lines
• More water recycling projects
• Provide $500 rainwater tank rebate
• Supports requiring all new houses to have a rainwater tank
• Support cleaning up the Yarra
• Condoms in prison
• No toxic waste dump at Hattah-Nowing
• Control feral animals that cause "environmental damage".
• Build a major desalination plant.
• Reduce the number of pokie machines

Crap, that was actually from the Liberals. Oh well, mostly the same anyways.

POLITICAL MATHS:

GREENS - FF CRITICISMS = LIBERAL
LIBERAL ± (0.1% GREENS) = LABOR

Let's see who got ripped off in the preference deals:

The Who-Fucked-Who chart

A high value indicated you fucked other parties over, low means you got fucked. Closer to zero is better, fairer, less preferential rodgering.

• DEMOCRATS were a big winner (mostly because they're such a big loser), getting a quickie by the ALP by 2 positions, and FF by 3.
• PEOPLE POWER got a big old reach-around by ALP by 3 positions, and FF by 1.
• LIBERALS got a fairer treatment than it gave the Greens by one position, but lost 1 to both the ALP and Democrats.
• GREENS got pwned by People Power and Liberals by 1 position.
• ALP copped it, getting banged by Dems by 2 and PP by 3 - ouch.
• FAMILY FIRST were the biggest losers on preferences, getting a raw deal from PP and ALP by 1, and Democrats by 3.

(Stats apply to the, IIRC, northern metro upper house region.)

Now for a little creation I just invented, called the idiocy factor.
How it works:

1. Line up the parties, left to right, (or the other way, it doesn't matter) and number them.
2. Guess each parties logical preferences, based on their positions in the line.
3. For parties in the middle (say, the ALP), the preferences should flow first towards the side their supporters consider them to align with, and then the other way. (For ALP, pref's should flow all the way to the left, then to the right.)
4. Compare the logical preferences with the actual ones. Any difference is added to the idiocy factor for each party. Negatives count as positives.

Get it? Got it? Good.

1: LINED UP:
1 Greens, 2 PP, 3 Dems, 4 ALP, 5 LIB, 6 FF.

2/3: EXPECTED PREFERENCES:
GREENS: 1,2,3,4,5,6
PP: 2,1,3,4,5,6
DEMS: 3,2,1,4,5,6
ALP: 4,3,2,1,5,6 (to the left, then right…)
LIB: 5,6,4,3,2,1 (to the right, then left…)
FF: 6,5,4,3,2,1.

4: ACTUAL vs EXPECTED PREFERENCES
GREENS: 1,2,3,4,5,6 vs 1,2,3,4,5,6 = 0.
PP: 2,3,1,5,4,6 vs 2,1,3,4,5,6 = 4.
DEMS: 3,2,1,5,4,6 vs 3,2,1,4,5,6 = 2.
ALP: 4,2,3,1,6,5 vs 4,3,2,1,5,6 = 4.
LIB: 5,6,3,2,4,1 vs 5,6,4,3,2,1 = 4.
FF: 6,5,4,3,2,1 vs 6,5,3,4,2,1 = 2.

Completely lacking in idiocy: Greens.
Somewhat idiotic preferences: Democrats, Family First.
Illogical preferences: People Power, ALP, Liberals.